USDA ERS
Food price outlook and forecast history
USDA's monthly forecast of retail and wholesale food price changes by category, actual yearly changes since 1974, and every forecast published since 2002.
Published by USDA ERS
Finest detail national
Tables 3
How we use this · on 1 desk
“What does USDA expect food prices to do this year?”
Where you'll see it
- Farm & Food Markets: By category, Food price outlook, Repricing watch, Start here
- AI & Spreadsheets: at Level 3, link it into Excel or Google Sheets, download it, or ask your AI assistant about it
What we added
- Every forecast USDA has published kept, so you can see how forecasts changed
- Refreshed every day
This month's outlook
Sample of 25 rows out of about 478
· 8 columns
| id | kind | item | item_path | depth | attribute | unit | value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1913 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Relative importance | Percent | 100.0 |
| 1914 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Month-to-month July 2026 to August 2026 | Percent change | 0.1 |
| 1915 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Year-over-year August 2025 to August 2026 | Percent change | 2.7 |
| 1916 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Year-to-date avg. 2026 to avg. 2025 | Percent change | 2.5 |
| 1917 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Annual 2024 | Percent change | 2.3 |
| 1918 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Annual 2025 | Percent change | 2.9 |
| 1919 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | 20-year historical average | Percent change | 3.0 |
| 1920 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Lower bound of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 2.5 |
| 1921 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Midpoint of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 2.9 |
| 1922 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Upper bound of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 3.2 |
| 1923 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Lower bound of forecast interval 2027 | Percent change | -2.7 |
| 1924 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Midpoint of forecast interval 2027 | Percent change | 2.0 |
| 1925 | cpi | All food | All food | 1 | Upper bound of forecast interval 2027 | Percent change | 7.0 |
| 1926 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Relative importance | Percent | 39.2 |
| 1927 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Month-to-month July 2026 to August 2026 | Percent change | 0.3 |
| 1928 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Year-over-year August 2025 to August 2026 | Percent change | 3.4 |
| 1929 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Year-to-date avg. 2026 to avg. 2025 | Percent change | 3.0 |
| 1930 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Annual 2024 | Percent change | 4.1 |
| 1931 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Annual 2025 | Percent change | 3.8 |
| 1932 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | 20-year historical average | Percent change | 3.5 |
| 1933 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Lower bound of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 3.3 |
| 1934 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Midpoint of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 3.5 |
| 1935 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Upper bound of forecast interval 2026 | Percent change | 3.8 |
| 1936 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Lower bound of forecast interval 2027 | Percent change | 0.2 |
| 1937 | cpi | Food away from home | All food > Food away from home | 2 | Midpoint of forecast interval 2027 | Percent change | 2.6 |
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